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Cheltenham: Day 1
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At last, after all the hype we have got here. Was going to jokingly fill this page with tips from about a dozen "informed" tipsters just to make sure every horse with a chance got a tip . I say jokingly but in many races this week it is logically possible to put forward a number of different horses per race that could win. The condition of the ground is a vital factor. Fast going today would have seen me being very confident regarding the chances of Thisthatandtother in the Arkle. Albuhera's chance in the first probably depends on the ground. If the ground was good to firm (I am not expecting it to be) It would have been my top rated. Brave Inca has consistently impressed in coming from behind to win races that were not run at a strong gallop from the start. Alaways a sign of a good horse. If one looks at the ratings. The Time column (best times since October 2003) indicates that on "Time" it is sixth best. The Champion Hurdle brings up the question of how fast it will be run. Guaranteed a strongly run race thereis no doubt that Rooster Booster would be hard to beat. Evidence suggests that Rigmarole is equipped with the best turn of foot, handy in a slower race. If it were to be a slow race a number of contenders such as Hasty Prince, Westender, Hardy Eustace and Self Defense would possibly lose a chance of getting placed. The tactics of a slow race will not suit every horse. The William Hill Handicap Chase is a tight affair, jumping and jockeyship could well decide the outcome. With apologies to the late great Fulke Walwyn. The race known as the Kim Muir (an owner rider in the pointing/hunting arena who was killed in the Second World War) by most is the most competitive of the day. Jasmin Guchois is not guaranteed to stay, the ground here being almost certainly slower than when winning at Wincanton. The odds reflect that. A similar proviso applies to Mondial Jack. Ibis Rochelais and Innox appear to have been primed for this race. It would appear That Toto Toscato is considered to be ready to do itself justice despite four years off, on iys old form it would have every chance. No doubt a win here would give Martin Pipe more satisfaction than any other race this week apart from the Gold Cup. Another competitive race as usual is the Pertemps. Hidden Bounty keeps finding that little bit extra. Ironically it fell when having no chance at the weights in the Haydock qualifier. That race could be the key to how well the ratings do, as I judged it to have not been the quickest. A fair number of contenders are coming directly from that race, notably the Jonjo O'Neill trio Tardar, Ar Muin Na Muice and Personal Assurance. Also Brewster, Alexanderthegreat, Rostropovich, Derivative and last year's winner Inching Closer (when with Jonjo). John P McManus owned Keepatem has had only one outing this season, which in my opinion it could have won. It would appear that today is the season's prime objective for the animal. Today at Cheltenham (post racing)An up and down day for the ratings at least there were two winners. The frightening aspect of the first few races was that the horses were not lined up at the start as we have come to expect over the years but were lead in from off the course. Most marked outcome of this procedure was that Rooster Booster started almost two seconds behind the front running winner, Hardy Eustace. Difficult to be totally accurate over that assessment as the TV coverage of the start was far from ideal. It was definitely two seconds behind (8 lengths) at the first. After the Champion Hurdle, the horses were not lined up exactly but were allowed to spread across the track which meant that the starts were more even. Cheltenham - First day highlights
TomorrowThe ratings are only provisional at present. With the opportunity to discover what the ground actually is, from today's racing. It would be folly not to reassess with the aid of the latest weather forecast. Will do so early evening. Final ratings will have the word "Provisional" removed from the heading. That said am not expecting to make any major adjustments. |
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